Java predictions

Predictions by authors of Java JVM Trends focus on faster adoption of new Java features and long-term releases

• frameworks (Helidon, Vert.x etx.) start providing Virtual Threads programming models, so the usage of this language/platform feature would grow
• native Java could become more visible due to Project Leyden (back to life in 2022) and focus on ease of use for Spring developers
• migration from MicroProfile Metrics to metrics and tracing by Micrometer.
• frameworks set the baseline to Java 17 (Spring)
• Java 11 takes over Java 8 (market): needs modernization of old stacks (libs, dependencies), challenge for many Java developers
• adoption of Java 17 is faster than Java 11
• Java as a language is strong (Jetbrains dev ecosystem research from 2021, waiting for 2022 one)

Resources

• https://www.infoq.com/articles/java-jvm-trends-2022/
• https://newrelic.com/resources/report/2022-state-of-java-ecosystem
• https://www.jetbrains.com/lp/devecosystem-2021/
• https://openjdk.org/projects/leyden/notes/01-beginnings

IT predictions

• more focus on security
• recognition for core value of IT Ops / Dev Ops
• Amazon (or: Cloud) rising even more
• optimization of development, processes, libraries in the direction of
  • containers
  • CI/CD
• more impact of developers and engeneers on company-level decision making
• no-code is not a threat for developers
• GPT-4 would be a game-changer; robotics will go mainstream expected adoption of self-driving cars
• buzzing in social platforms (Twitter, Tik-Tok), possible further content-moderation regulatory actions (esp. in Europe)
• new trends: IoB (Internet of Behaviour) - analysis of human behaviour with analytics (security issues) and prediction of futire behavior

Resources

• https://www.ipsos.com/en/ipsos-global-predictions-2023
• https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2022/12/tech-predictions-2023
• https://www.forbes.com/sites/robtoews/2022/12/20/10-ai-predictions-for-2023/
• https://www.theverge.com/2022/12/16/23512588/tech-platform-predictions-2023-facebook-twitter-moderation
• https://trojanczyk.eu/internet-of-behaviour-iob-what-it-is-data-predictions-and-benefits-for-business-and-threats-to-private-life/

What I think

I’m reading about the trends in IT and expected directions for companies, inverstors and business in IT world and one theme comes again and again as a common denominator of all the predictions. This theme is: the client. But we as individuals are not “the client”: we are “the revenue stream”. The real client (the one who gives money to software companies) wants the information and needs software professionals to dig that information in order to know:

• what people do
• how they do it
• who they know
• how to influence their decisions
• how to make them talk about the product(s) to all the people they know
• how to teach them about the needs they don’t have so that they start to have the needs
• how to offer thet product(s) to alleviate the need

Think: who is the most vulnerable to these market practices? How not to share that data? How not to be influenced? How to make your own decisions?

What do you own?

Is digital transformation a synonym of Consumer-As-A-Service? Would we all - our private life, our goals, plans, fun and work - become just a source of income stream for all types of -aas-technology-based subscription models? I’m really afraid that this is not only a direction, but also a reality (although not everywehere in the world yet). We don’t have to own books, music, videos. We don’t have to buy software, cars, office space or house. We rent things/places or subscribe to services.

What are the risks?

This trend, advertized as huge achievment of digital era, has several obvious dangers:

• it poses significant privacy risk on consumers: data about them is given away to third-parties
• it leaves us empty-handed when life shows its ugly face (a war destroys datacenters we rely upon; an unexpected illness renders us unable to keep the same level of income and standard of living; unexpected death of a loved one or our own illness or depression puts our families of “financial” danger)

Good practices to follow in 2023

Here’s a bunch of advice which I would try to apply:

• learn about computer security or wider information security and remember that it is good to be a little bit paranoid
• have your own laptop, flat, books and use free software, Linux, GPG
• buy the software (if you have to), don’t subscribe (if possible)

Oh, and don’t scroll too much on Twitter, except when it can transform your life…

• 11 Ways To Find Stillness In Your Life by RyanHoliday
• 21 tiny habits that will transform your life in 6 months by SystemSunday
• Be selectively ignorant by James Clear
• my today’s discovery: Adam Grant

I wish you all the best in 2023 😄

Photo by Marek Piwnicki on Unsplash